Handbook for Integrating Risk Analysis in the Economic Analysis Projects

This handbook further develops the discussion of the principles on risk analysis that is contained in Chapter XI (Uncertainty: Sensitivity and Risk Analysis) of ADB's Guidelines for the Economic Analysis of Projects (1997). The handbook contains detailed discussions of current risk analysis practice, the theory and application of various risk analysis techniques, and recommended applications for risk analysis, including a summary of typical risk circumstances on a sector-by-sector basis. To illustrate the ease of use of quantitive risk analysis software, the handbook includes case studies based on actual ADB projects in the agriculture, education, health, and power sectors.

The purpose of this handbook is to support the development of a practical and operationally relevant methodological framework for the analysis of risk in project design and project economic analysis.

The handbook provides guidance with respect to the integration of risk analysis in the design and analysis of projects. It also provides direction on how the analysis of risk can be used to improved the focus on poverty reduction.

Daftar Isi:

Foreword
Abbreviations and Acronyms

Chapter 1. Introduction and Background

Chapter 2. Technical Approaches to the Analysis of Risk in Project Economics

Chapter 3. A Summary of Development Agency Experience in Applying Risk Analysis

Chapter 4. Poverty Reduction Objectives and Risk Analysis

Chapter 5. Strengthening Risk Analysis in ADB Operations

Appendixes:
Appendix 1. List of Reviewed ADB Projects and other ADB Project Evaluation Documents
Appendix 2. Sustainable Livelihoods Framework
Appendix 3. Illustration of Risk Analysis in Project Economic Analysis

References